The Times Australia
Business and Money

That advice to women to 'lean in', be more confident... it doesn't help, and data show it

  • Written by Leonora Risse, Lecturer in Economics, RMIT University

“Just be more confident, be more ambitious, be more like a man.”

These are the words of advice given over and over to women in a bid to close the career and earnings gaps between women and men.

From self-help books to confidence coaching, the message to “lean in” and show confidence in the workplace is pervasive, propelled by Facebook Executive Sheryl Sandberg through her worldwide Lean In[1] movement:

Women are hindered by barriers that exist within ourselves. We hold ourselves back in ways both big and small, by lacking self-confidence, by not raising our hands, and by pulling back when we should be leaning in

The efforts are well intended, because women are persistently underrepresented[2] in senior and leadership positions.

But where is the proof they work?

Repeated advice needn’t be right

As a labour economist, and a recipient of such advice throughout my own career, I wanted to find out.

So I used Australian survey data to investigate the link between confidence and job promotion for both men and women. The results have just been published in the Australian Journal of Labour Economics[3].

The nationally-representative Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA[4]) survey includes a measure of a person’s confidence to take on a challenge.

The measure is called achievement motivation[5].

Read more: 'Walking into a headwind' – what it feels like for women building science careers[6]

It is made up of hope for success[7] which we measure by asking people how much they agree with statements such as

  • when confronted by a difficult problem, I prefer to start on it straight away

  • I like situations where I can find out how capable I am

  • I am attracted to tasks that allow me to test my abilities

And it is made up of fear of failure[8] which is measured by a person’s agreement with statements such as

  • I start feeling anxious if I do not understand a problem immediately

  • In difficult situations where a lot depends on me, I am afraid of failing

  • I feel uneasy about undertaking a task if I am unsure of succeeding

More than 7,500 workers provided answers to these questions in the 2013 HILDA survey.

Confidence matters, with a catch

Using a statistical technique called Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition I investigated the link between their answers and whether or not they experienced a promotion in the following year.

After controlling for a range of factors, including the job opportunities on offer, I discovered higher hope for success was clearly linked to a higher likelihood of promotion.

But there was a catch: the link was only clear for men.

Read more: Gender differences at work: relishing competence or seeking a challenge?[9]

For women, there was no clear evidence stronger confidence enhanced job promotion prospects.

Put differently, “leaning in” provides no guarantee of a payoff for women.

Promotion rate for men and women by hope for success

That advice to women to 'lean in', be more confident... it doesn't help, and data show it Promotion probabilities are estimated for 2013 using hope for success responses. collected in 2012. Categories at the lower levels are grouped due to small sample sizes. Source: Author’s analysis using the HILDA Survey[10]

Personality traits reveal further gender patterns.

Men who display boldness and charisma, reflected by high extraversion, also experience a stronger likelihood of promotion. As do men who display the attitude that whatever happens to them in life is a result of their own choices and efforts, a trait we call “locus of control”.

But again there is no link between any of these traits and the promotion prospects for women.

Collectively these findings point to a disturbing template for career success: be confident, be ambitious… and be male.

Be male and unafraid

This template for promotion also prescribes: don’t show fear of failure. Among managers, though not among workers as a whole, fear of failure is linked to weaker job promotion prospects — but more profoundly for men than women.

This echoes the way society penalises male leaders for revealing emotional weakness. Both men and women are hindered by gender norms.

So what’s the harm in confidence training?

For women, it could do more harm than good[11]. In a culture that does not value such attributes among women, contravening expected patterns carries risks.

‘Fixing’ women is itself a problem

Imploring women to adopt behaviours that characterise successful men creates a culture that paints women as “deficient” and devalues diverse[12] working styles.

A fixation on fixing women[13] — without proof it pays off — steers resources away from anti-discrimination initiatives[14] that could actually make a difference.

In any case there is very little evidence confidence makes good workers. Overconfident workers can be liabilities[15].

Read more: Gap or trap? Confidence backlash is the real problem for women [16]

Workplaces would be served better by basing their hiring and promotion decisions on competency and capability rather than confidence and charisma.

My study is one of a steadily[17] growing number[18] suggesting gender equity shouldn’t be about changing women, it should be about changing workplaces.

References

  1. ^ Lean In (leanin.org)
  2. ^ underrepresented (www.wgea.gov.au)
  3. ^ Australian Journal of Labour Economics (businesslaw.curtin.edu.au)
  4. ^ HILDA (melbourneinstitute.unimelb.edu.au)
  5. ^ achievement motivation (www.apa.org)
  6. ^ 'Walking into a headwind' – what it feels like for women building science careers (theconversation.com)
  7. ^ hope for success (businesslaw.curtin.edu.au)
  8. ^ fear of failure (businesslaw.curtin.edu.au)
  9. ^ Gender differences at work: relishing competence or seeking a challenge? (theconversation.com)
  10. ^ Source: Author’s analysis using the HILDA Survey (businesslaw.curtin.edu.au)
  11. ^ more harm than good (theconversation.com)
  12. ^ diverse (hbr.org)
  13. ^ fixing women (www.newsouthbooks.com.au)
  14. ^ anti-discrimination initiatives (hbr.org)
  15. ^ liabilities (onlinelibrary.wiley.com)
  16. ^ Gap or trap? Confidence backlash is the real problem for women (theconversation.com)
  17. ^ steadily (www.newsouthbooks.com.au)
  18. ^ growing number (www.sl.nsw.gov.au)

Authors: Leonora Risse, Lecturer in Economics, RMIT University

Read more https://theconversation.com/that-advice-to-women-to-lean-in-be-more-confident-it-doesnt-help-and-data-show-it-146998

Business Times

Navigating Leadership Mistakes with Confidence

I am always surprised by this question: How do leaders get over embarrassing mistakes and still succeed? The use of the w...

Australia’s Grill’d Transforms Operations with Qlik

Boosting Burgers and Business Clean, connected data powers real-time insights, smarter staffing, and standout customer exp...

Agentforce for Financial Services: Merging AI and Human Expertise…

In this rapidly evolving world of financial services, deploying customer experiences that are personalized and intelligen...

The Times Features

Is our mental health determined by where we live – or is it the other way round? New research sheds more light

Ever felt like where you live is having an impact on your mental health? Turns out, you’re not imagining things. Our new analysis[1] of eight years of data from the New Zeal...

Going Off the Beaten Path? Here's How to Power Up Without the Grid

There’s something incredibly freeing about heading off the beaten path. No traffic, no crowded campsites, no glowing screens in every direction — just you, the landscape, and the...

West HQ is bringing in a season of culinary celebration this July

Western Sydney’s leading entertainment and lifestyle precinct is bringing the fire this July and not just in the kitchen. From $29 lobster feasts and award-winning Asian banque...

What Endo Took and What It Gave Me

From pain to purpose: how one woman turned endometriosis into a movement After years of misdiagnosis, hormone chaos, and major surgery, Jo Barry was done being dismissed. What beg...

Why Parents Must Break the Silence on Money and Start Teaching Financial Skills at Home

Australia’s financial literacy rates are in decline, and our kids are paying the price. Certified Money Coach and Financial Educator Sandra McGuire, who has over 20 years’ exp...

Australia’s Grill’d Transforms Operations with Qlik

Boosting Burgers and Business Clean, connected data powers real-time insights, smarter staffing, and standout customer experiences Sydney, Australia, 14 July 2025 – Qlik®, a g...