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why autumn is not a good time to predict if El Niño is coming

  • Written by: Nandini Ramesh, Senior Research Scientist, Data61, CSIRO
why autumn is not a good time to predict if El Niño is comingShutterstock

Remember the butterfly effect? It was a popular summary of chaos theory suggesting a butterfly flapping its wings in the Amazon could cause a tornado in Texas.

Right now, a version of this is making it hard for us to predict whether an El Niño event is coming.

After three consecutive La Niña years, that part of the cycle...

Read more: why autumn is not a good time to predict if El Niño is coming

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