why autumn is not a good time to predict if El Niño is coming
- Written by: Nandini Ramesh, Senior Research Scientist, Data61, CSIRO
ShutterstockRemember the butterfly effect? It was a popular summary of chaos theory suggesting a butterfly flapping its wings in the Amazon could cause a tornado in Texas.
Right now, a version of this is making it hard for us to predict whether an El Niño event is coming.
After three consecutive La Niña years, that part of the cycle...
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