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Harris’ win probability falls slightly after Democratic convention and Kennedy withdrawal

  • Written by Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.8–45.0. In my previous US politics article last Sunday, Harris led Trump by 48.8–44.8.

Joe Biden’s final position before his withdrawal as...

Read more: Harris’ win probability falls slightly after Democratic convention and Kennedy withdrawal

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