As international students start trickling back, the new year will be crunch time
- Written by Christopher Ziguras, Professor of Global Studies, RMIT University
It’s looking much more likely that international students will be able to return for the first semester next year, with international travel for Australians opening up from November 1.
From that date, there will be no cap on the number[1] of fully vaccinated citizens and permanent residents able to fly into New South Wales. In response to NSW Premier Dominic Perrottet’s announcement[2] last Friday, Prime Minister Scott Morrison also confirmed[3] fully vaccinated travellers won’t have to go into quarantine in NSW.
Read more: NSW scraps home quarantine for returnees. What are the risks, and what does this mean for the rest of Australia?[4]
This is an important moment in the transition to COVID-normal. One by one other states will follow NSW’s lead. Victoria is likely to be the next cab off the rank.
NSW is keen for inbound travel to resume also for international students and tourists. However, the Commonwealth has adopted a staged approach. As Morrison explained[5] on Friday:
“In the first instance, it will be for Australians, Australian residents and their families. We’ll see how that goes and then we’ll move to the other priorities, which I’ve already set out as being skilled migration, as well as students to Australia.”
To date, only small numbers of students have been able to apply for a travel exemption[6] to enter the country. They include research students with Australian government funding and medical, dental, nursing or allied health students who will undertake work placements, and secondary school students in years 11 and 12.
The Conversation. Data: Department of Home Affairs (as of 11 October 2021)[17]
Read more:
5 ways Australia can get ahead in attracting and retaining Chinese international students[18]
We can expect to see a flurry of new students applying as soon as it is clear the border is open to them. And many Australians will be taking advantage of their newfound travel freedom over the summer and will also be wanting return flights.
So can we manage that many arrivals?
The big question now is will there be enough inbound flights for all these returning Australians and international students over the summer? In pre-COVID times, this would have been a walk in the park. There were 21.3 million international arrivals[19] in Australia in 2019, or around 1.8 million inbound passengers per month.
It will take a long time to reach those numbers again, but the key point is that airlines have ample capacity to allow Australians to travel over the summer and students to arrive on campus in 2022.
Airlines are keen to resume flying, students are keen to get onto campus next semester and our cities are keen to get international students back. International education will play a big part in our recovery in 2022. We are just waiting on governments to commit to a timeline for reopening so we can all start making plans.
Read more:
As hopes of international students' return fade, closed borders could cost $20bn a year in 2022 – half the sector's value[20]
References^ no cap on the number (www.theguardian.com)^ announcement (www.smh.com.au)^ confirmed (www.pm.gov.au)^ NSW scraps home quarantine for returnees. What are the risks, and what does this mean for the rest of Australia? (theconversation.com)^ explained (www.pm.gov.au)^ travel exemption (covid19.homeaffairs.gov.au)^ The Conversation. Data: Department of Home Affairs (as of 11 October 2021) (www.dese.gov.au)^ Numerous pilot plans (theconversation.com)^ The government keeps shelving plans to bring international students back to Australia. It owes them an explanation (theconversation.com)^ one plan is currently in place (covid19.homeaffairs.gov.au)^ Victoria’s recent proposal (www.coronavirus.vic.gov.au)^ over 45,000 Australians overseas (www.theguardian.com)^ registered (www.smartraveller.gov.au)^ 264,000 international students (www.dese.gov.au)^ less than half as many (www.homeaffairs.gov.au)^ COVID to halve international student numbers in Australia by mid-2021 – it's not just unis that will feel their loss (theconversation.com)^ The Conversation. Data: Department of Home Affairs (as of 11 October 2021) (www.dese.gov.au)^ 5 ways Australia can get ahead in attracting and retaining Chinese international students (theconversation.com)^ 21.3 million international arrivals (www.bitre.gov.au)^ As hopes of international students' return fade, closed borders could cost $20bn a year in 2022 – half the sector's value (theconversation.com)
